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Super Rugby tipping is tough, but good luck picking NRL winners

The Super Rugby competition is in full swing, and tonight marks the start of the NRL premiership.

It is hoped that Super Rugby won’t be as predictable as it has been in recent years.

There are early signs that teams who have a habit of finding themselves at the bottom of the ladder are finally making a statement.

The Rebels and Lions fall into that category.

In contrast, teams who have dominated Super Rugby are showing signs of vulnerability.

Just look at the Crusaders, Bulls, Brumbies and Reds.

The Waratahs have made an impressive start, so will the Blues and Hurricanes – who have also been a big tease in recent times – finally reach their potential.

The Chiefs appear certain to feature prominantly once again come the finals, but will the Force and Highlanders be able to stamp their authority by stringing a number of wins together.

There have been a few upset results in the opening weeks of the Super Rugby and long may it continue.

There’s no denying the fact that the NRL is the most unpredictable competition when it comes to comparing the footy codes.

Picking winners last year was an extremely difficult assignment and come 2014 it’s no easy task nominating the likely premiers, the Top 8 or the wooden spooners.

Tipped the Cowboys to win the premiership last year and the Roosters, who ended up winning the grand final, were not even included in the Top 8 – although it must be said that 12 months ago the Broncos got the nod ahead of the Roosters when it came to completing the Top 8.

Got it right though when it came to picking the Eels to finish last.

The Roosters, who didn’t have too many injury concerns in 2013, are probably the team to beat this season, but let’s look at the teams who will more than likely miss the Top 8.

The Eels, Dragons, Raiders, Tigers and Broncos are no chance of playing finals.

That means 11 teams are capable of making the Top 8.

Was asked to settle on a Top 8 for the NT News recently and settled on the Cowboys, Roosters, Rabbitohs, Sea Eagles, Storm, Warriors, Sharks and Titans.

That means the Knights, Panthers and Bulldogs miss out.

It was a toss up between the Titans, Knights and Panthers as far as filling the last spot in the Top 8.

It was probbaly foolish to leave the Bulldogs out, but look how they performed when Barba failed to take the field. Barba is no longer at the Bulldogs and it’s hard to see him duplicating his unbelievable form of 2012 now that he is at the Broncos.

If you won your respective NRL tipping competition then by all means stick to your routine, but you might find it hard to go back to back in 2014.

Your author has gone back to the drawing board after a pretty ordinary tipping performance last year, but is confident of striking back in style come 2014 so long as he knows who is playing before the teams take the field.

Forget the odds, history, injuries, form and home ground advantage, you’re virtually no chance in a NRL tipping competition if clubs change their team line up after you make your selection.

The Eels, Dragons or Tigers will finish last in 2014 and having to make the big call there’s every chance it will be the Eels for a third straight year.

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