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Origin makes it hard for NRL tipsters, but AFL different story

NRL – Round 15:
Once again, the loss of State of Origin players makes it a little tricky to tip teams with confidence.
However, some teams will miss their key players more than others.
The Roosters may find it tough going against the Bulldogs minus Pearce, Maloney and Jennings, and there’s now mounting speculation that Williams will miss the game because of injury.
The loss of Morris and Reynolds is a blow for the Bulldogs as they set out to avenge their 38-0 defeat in Round 6, but the Roosters may find it tricky containing Barba and once again the Bulldogs don’t lose too many games with Graham in their side.
And Tolman will be out to prove that perhaps the NSW selectors got it wrong.
Farah and Woods are missing from the Tigers, while Papalii aqnd Ferguson are out of the Raiders line up.
The Tigers should bounce back at Campbelltown after their mauling in Brisbane, while the Raiders are playing pretty good football and will start the match as deserved favourites.
Marshall must produce a big one if the Tigers are any chance.
It’s a danger game for the Raiders as they’ve battled on the road this season, but surely Campese and Shillington will keep them on the straight and narrow.
The bottom team faces the top team when the Eels take on the Rabbitohs at ANZ Stadium.
It’s a home game for the Eels, so why play the game at ANZ Stadium – the home ground of the Rabbitohs – instead of Parramatta Stadium.
Minus Hayne, the Eels were no match for the Sharks last weekend and it could be a similar scenario on Sunday unless Sandow produces a rabbit out of his hat.
No Inglis, Merritt, McQueen or Te’o will stretch the Rabbitohs’ depth, but the Eels will still find it tough going stopping Reynolds, Sutton, Luke, Asotasi and the eldest Burgess brother.
If the Eels don’t get the Rabbitohs on this occasion they never will.
The Titans have had a highly impressive season and were far from disgraced against the Rabbitohs in Cairns.
The Titans are missing Myles and Bird, but have Harrison on deck after he was surprisingly punted from the Maroons team for Origin II.
In contrast, the Storm head into Monday’s game minus Smith, Slater, Cronk and Hoffman.
Hard to write off the Storm, but it would be nothing short of sensational if they got the cash against the Titans.
The Storm will be there at the end of the season when the whips are cracking, but the Titans can forget about September action if they don’t win this game.
AFL – Round 13:
Not for the first time this season, we won’t be beating around the bush.
It’s hard to see an upset in the six games set down for this weekend.
The big issue for punters is to decide whether or not to take teams by under 39 points or over 39 points.
The Hawks-Eagles, Dockers-Kangaroos and Lions-Cats encounters may end up being a lot closer on the scoreboard, but it’s hard to see the Hawks, Dockers and Cats succumbing to their respective opponent.
The Eagles are fielding arguably their strongest team of the year, it’s the last roll of the dice for the Kangaroos, and the Lions will surely lift with Brown and Merrett returning to the fold.
The Hawks, Dockers and Cats will more than likely finish in the top four and all three are capable of winning the premiership, and they’re not exactly in bad form.
The Swans destroyed the Crows in their last clash, so it’s hard to see them succumbing to the Power when they return to Adelaide for their second straight match at AAMI Stadium.
The Power were too good for the Giants in Sydney and won’t lie down against the premiers, but the Swans are a different kettle of fish and the inclusion of Tippett will only enhance their prospects.
How will the Saints recover from the Milne saga?
And how will the Demons recover following the demise of their former coach?
With both Riewoldt and Dal Santo preparing for their 250th game for the Saints, a Demons victory under the new coach Craig seems highly unlikely.
The Bulldogs have the best ruckman at their disposal with statistics indicating that Minson is the best in the business.
With that in mind, Minson’s teammates should get first use of the football.
That might well be the case, but the Bulldogs’ win-loss record tells you that they struggle to capitalise on the scoreboard.
The Bulldogs take on the high-flying Tigers this weekend and it would be an utter shock if the Tigers went down.
The Tigers are playing great footy and following wins over the Eagles and Crows it’s hard to see them buckling at the expense of the Bulldogs.

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