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David White’s Blog

Maroons have that individual flair to give them the edge in Origin I

No doubt NSW has more than a decent chance to win their first State of Origin series since 2005.
 
That’s the year Wests Tigers won the NRL premiership, so yes, it has been a long drought.
 
And significantly it was an errant pass from former Tigers fullback Brett Hodgson in Game 3 in Melbourne back in 2006 that sparked off Queensland’s amazing seven series wins in a row.
 
Queensland has visions of winning 10 straight series, and with the players at their disposal they’re certainly capable of achieving the feat.
 
Talk of the Maroons being old is rubbish – this group of players is perhaps the best in Origin history.
 
The Blues suffered a heartbreaking one-point loss in the decider last year when Cooper Cronk landed a miracle field goal, but in general the Maroons always had them covered.
 
NSW never looked like winning the game.
 
For NSW to dump Todd Carney is a little hard to comprehend.
 
Carney is a match winner – remember it was he who set up Brett Stewart’s try in Game 2 last year at ANZ Stadium.
 
Mitchell Pearce just isn’t up to it when it comes to Origin, so to sacrifice Carney for James Maloney to make life a bit easier for Pearce borders on the staggering.
 
Individual brilliance is likely to determine the result of Game 1 and in the Maroons camp you have Slater, Inglis, Hodges, Thurston, Cronk, Thaiday and Smith.
 
In contrast, the Blues can turn to Hayne, Jennings and Farah, and perhaps Ferguson.
 
That’s it.
 
Can Watmough turn the clock back to 2009 when he produced an absolute blinder in Game 3 in Brisbane?
 
And can Josh Morris repeat the five star performance he produced at Suncorp Stadium in Game 3 last year?
 
There has to be a doubt surrounding the fitness of NSW duo Paul Gallen and Luke Lewis, while in the Maroons camp Darius Boyd is recovering from injury and Johnathan Thurston is trying to shake the flu.
 
Yes, Feleti Mateo had a blinder for the Warriors against the Broncos on Monday night, but for some reason he can’t get a look in for NSW.
 
Mateo would be an ideal utility on the Blues bench as he can play in the forwards and at five-eighth.
 
Bottom line – Mateo should have played for NSW by now.
 
He offers more than Josh Reynolds.
 
Matt Gillett was a passenger in the Origin series last year and therefore Queensland, who don’t usually get it wrong when it comes to picking teams, may rue not naming Daly Cherry-Evans.
 
Chris McQueen was chosen from left field and is playing well for the Rabbitohs, but Roosters prop Martin Kennedy can feel hard done by.
 
Injuries have certainly proven a hindrance as we prepare for the 2013 Origin series and unfortunately for NSW the loss of Glenn and Brett Stewart is likely to hit them harder than Queensland missing the services of Ben Hannant.
 
The selection of Ben Te’o once again proves how desperate Queensland are to win a State of Origin series.
 
The fact that he is allowed to player defies belief.
 
However, the fact that NSW have once again thrown loyalty out the window by once again picking a “new look” squad will probably cost them another Origin series, and if that’s the case then they only have themselves to blame.
 
Pearce and Maloney are in for a torrid time tonight because it’s hard to see them controlling Cronk and Thurston in both attack and defence.
 
Queensland by 6.

Loss of Origin players means tipping gets harder and harder

NRL – Round 12
 
Tipping has never been harder, and it only gets more difficult in the NRL this weekend with teams losing key players to State of Origin.
 
The Dragons’ loss against the Panthers came from no where as they had displayed pretty good form in recent weeks, so it’s hard to see them rolling the Bulldogs who are aiming for their sixth straight win.
 
No surprise that the Bulldogs are stringing wins together with James Graham back on deck.
 
The Dragons can spring an upset.
 
Hard to get excited about the Knights after their disappointing loss against the Warriors, however they do welcome back Jeremy Smith.
Sam Burgess is a big loss for the Rabbitohs, who should bounce back after an unexpected loss to the Sharks, but the fact that John Sutton is on deck may be enough to get them over the line against the Knights.
 
Apart from a win on the Gold Coast, the Knights’ form on the road has been diabolical.
 
The Titans are travelling OK and they have the depth to cover the loss of Origin stars Greg Bird, Ashley Harrison and Nate Myles.
 
In contrast, the Cowboys are struggling and it’s hard to see them getting the cash on the Gold Coast minus Johnathan Thurston, Matt Scott, Brent Tate, James Tamou and the injured Matt Bowen.
The Broncos are missing a host of players to Origin, while the Warriors are basically at full strength and bring good form to Brisbane after putting the Knights to the sword.
 
The Broncos looked second rate against the Bulldogs, but they should lift at home.
 
However, if the Warriors don’t get the Broncos on this occasion they never will.
 
AFL – Round 10
 
First of all, the Magpies, Blues, Cats, Hawks, Kangaroos and Eagles should overcome the Lions, Giants, Suns, Demons, Saints and Tigers, respectively.
 
The Saints and Tigers may give some cheek, but it would come as a shock if any of those six teams suffered defeat this weekend.
However, the other three games can go either way.
 
Therefore, getting it right in the 50/50 games could prove the difference between getting a minimum of six winners or a maximum of nine.
 
The Swans might just get the Bombers, but treat the Bombers with respect following wins over the Crows and Dockers on the road this season.
 
Adelaide recorded three wins in as many games against the Dockers last year, but the Dockers have found another gear in 2013 and are capable of getting the cash in Adelaide.
 
The Crows would be full of beans after an incredible win over the Kangaroos and go into the match as favourites, but the Dockers have been super impressive since that Bombers defeat and the fact they were able to share the spoils with the Swans at the SCG is something that must be taken into consideration.
 
Good luck splitting the Crows and Dockers.
The Bulldogs have won their last six games against the Power, which have included comfortable wins over the Port in the last three games between the teams in Darwin.
 
History suggests it’s the Bulldogs, but the Power are favourites despite the fact they have lost their past four games.
 
The Bulldogs played well last week, but the Saints are on the nose at the moment.
 
Going the Power, but don’t write off the Bulldogs.
Super Rugby – Round 16
 
Get the winner of the Cheetahs-Bulls match and you’ll more than likely get the card in Super Rugby this weekend.
 
The game in Bloemfontein is the last game of the weekend and with both teams in the finals mix it should be a terrific contest – games between South African teams usually are.
The Cheetahs have stung tipsters all season, but the Bulls are flying and sit comfortably in second place.
 
It’s a massive game and although the Cheetahs are a chance at home, the head tells you it’s the Bulls.
 
The rest of the games should go in favour of the favourites, however the Hurricanes could make it tough going for the Brumbies in Canberra and the Highlanders will lift when the free-falling Blues arrive in Dunedin.
 
The Brumbies and Blues have plenty to play for, so you would expect them to bring their A grade game to the table.
Hard to see the Brumbies and Blues making an impact at the end of the season if they go down this weekend.
The fast-finishing Crusaders have won their past 10 games against the Waratahs and will prevail once again in Christchurch.
It was magnificent win by the Rebels over the Waratahs last weekend after toppling the Stormers the week before, but the boys from Melbourne may find it tough to overcome the Reds in Brisbane.
 
The Rebels have been highly competitive for the past six weeks against quality opposition, so the Reds – an absolute flop in South Africa – can ill-afford to take them lightly.
It was a super effort by the Stormers to sink the Reds last weekend after falling to the Rebels in Melbourne and it’s hard to see them succumbing to the visiting Kings.
 
 

Tipping gets harder and harder and harder

NRL – Round 12
Tipping has never been harder, and it only gets more difficult in the NRL this weekend with teams losing key players to State of Origin.
The Dragons’ loss against the Panthers came from no where as they had displayed pretty good form in recent weeks, so it’s hard to see them rolling the Bulldogs who are aiming for their sixth straight win.
No surprise that the Bulldogs are stringing wins together with James Graham back on deck.
The Dragons can spring an upset.
Hard to get excited about the Knights after their disappointing loss against the Warriors, however they do welcome back Jeremy Smith.
Sam Burgess is a big loss for the Rabbitohs, who should bounce back after an unexpected loss to the Sharks, but the fact that John Sutton is on deck may be enough to get them over the line against the Knights.
Apart from a win on the Gold Coast, the Knights’ form on the road has been diabolical.
The Titans are travelling OK and they have the depth to cover the loss of Origin stars Greg Bird, Ashley Harrison and Nate Myles.
In contrast, the Cowboys are struggling and it’s hard to see them getting the cash on the Gold Coast minus Johnathan Thurston, Matt Scott, Brent Tate, James Tamou and the injured Matt Bowen.
The Broncos are missing a host of players to Origin, while the Warriors are basically at full strength and bring good form to Brisbane after putting the Knights to the sword.
The Broncos looked second rate against the Bulldogs, but they should lift at home.
However, if the Warriors don’t get the Broncos on this occasion they never will.
AFL – Round 10
First of all, the Magpies, Blues, Cats, Hawks, Kangaroos and Eagles should overcome the Lions, Giants, Suns, Demons, Saints and Tigers, respectively.
The Saints and Tigers may give some cheek, but it would come as a shock if any of those six teams suffered defeat this weekend.
However, the other three games can go either way.
Therefore, getting it right in the 50/50 games could prove the difference between getting a minimum of six winners or a maximum of nine.
The Swans might just get the Bombers, but treat the Bombers with respect following wins over the Crows and Dockers on the road this season.
Adelaide recorded three wins in as many games against the Dockers last year, but the Dockers have found another gear in 2013 and are capable of getting the cash in Adelaide.
The Crows would be full of beans after an incredible win over the Kangaroos and go into the match as favourites, but the Dockers have been super impressive since that Bombers defeat and the fact
they were able to share the spoils with the Swans at the SCG is something that must be taken into consideration.
Good luck splitting the Crows and Dockers.
The Bulldogs have won their last six games against the Power, which have included comfortable wins over the Port in the last three games between the teams in Darwin.
History suggests it’s the Bulldogs, but the Power are favourites despite the fact they have lost their past four games.
The Bulldogs played well last week, but the Saints are on the nose at the moment.
Going the Power, but don’t write off the Bulldogs.
Super Rugby – Round 16
Get the winner of the Cheetahs-Bulls match and you’ll more than likely get the card in Super Rugby this weekend.
The game in Bloemfontein is the last game of the weekend and with both teams in the finals mix it should be a terrific contest – games between South African teams usually are.
The Cheetahs have stung tipsters all season, but the Bulls are flying and sit comfortably in second place.
It’s a massive game and although the Cheetahs are a chance at home, the head tells you it’s the Bulls.
The rest of the games should go in favour of the favourites, however the Hurricanes could make it tough going for the Brumbies in Canberra and the Highlanders will lift when the free-falling Blues arrive in Dunedin.
The Brumbies and Blues have plenty to play for, so you would expect them to bring their A grade game to the table.
Hard to see the Brumbies and Blues making an impact at the end of the season if they go down this weekend.
The fast-finishing Crusaders have won their past 10 games against the Waratahs and will prevail once again in Christchurch.
It was magnificent win by the Rebels over the Waratahs last weekend after toppling the Stormers the week before, but the boys from Melbourne may find it tough to overcome the Reds in Brisbane.
The Rebels have been highly competitive for the past six weeks against quality opposition, so the Reds – an absolute flop in South Africa – can ill-afford to take them lightly.
It was a super effort by the Stormers to sink the Reds last weekend after falling to the Rebels in Melbourne and it’s hard to see them succumbing to the visiting Kings.

NRL and AFL are tricky, but for tipsters Super Rugby is horrific

NRL – Round 11
 
If games go according to form there shouldn’t be too many surprises this weekend, but are you game enough to back all eight favourites with confidence?
 
Yes, the Tigers are playing poorly, but they also have their injury concerns, so if the Cowboys can’t get them on this occasion you’ve got to question whether or not the Townsville-based outfit will in fact make the finals.
 
Here’s a statement.
 
If the Bulldogs don’t overcome the Broncos, they won’t play finals in 2013.
 
The Bulldogs were awful against the Knights, so it’s hard to tip them with confidence.
 
The Broncos have been a little up and down this season, but they did show encouraging signs as they dismantled the Titans last weekend.
 
No sitting on the fence here.
 
It’s the Bulldogs, but you’ll be holding your breath for the entire 80 minutes no matter who you tip.
 
The Panthers were dynamite against the hapless Warriors last weekend and will fancy their chances against the Dragons; however, it’s hard to get too excited about the Panthers on the road — especially against the Dragons, who are showing plenty of steel these days at Kogarah and Wollongong.
 
The Roosters are flying and it would come as a major surprise if they were to stumble at the hands of the Storm, who are capable of lifting for such a big game despite their brutal contest against the Sea Eagles.
 
The Storm have seemingly lost their attacking edge, but remember, they’re the premiers.
 
If there is going to be an upset this weekend it could be at Brookvale, but tipping against the Sea Eagles at home is a risky exercise.
 
Like the Storm, the Sea Eagles are licking their wounds following the Monday night cracker in Melbourne, so the Raiders, if they can put it together for 80 minutes, are some chance if their performance against the Sharks is any guide.
 
The Warriors have a fantastic record against the Knights, but a week ago the Warriors were annihilated at Penrith and the Knights creamed the visiting Bulldogs.
 
When last they travelled, the Knights were smashed in Canberra, but if the Novocastrians think they’re good enough to make the finals then they have to win this game.
 
The Eels have been great at Parramatta Stadium this season, but on the road it has been a different story and they didn’t exactly set the world on fire in Wollongong against the Dragons last weekend.
 
On paper, the Titans perhaps have a better looking side and no doubt facing the Eels in Mudgee instead of Parramatta Stadium has got to be a bonus.
 
The Eels will be out for revenge after grabbing defeat from the jaws of victory when last these two teams clashed, but if the Titans, who lost the plot in the first half against the Broncos, can nullify Jarryd Hayne and Chris Sandow they can win.
 
The Sharks-Rabbitohs game could be a highly entertaining affair; however, the Rabbitohs are playing faultless football and you’d be extremely brave to tip against them.
 
The Sharks have displayed signs of vulnerability during the ASADA investigation, so how will the Rabbitohs shape up with the Ben Te’o dramas grabbing all the headlines this week?
 
The Sharks are expected to welcome back Paul Gallen and Luke Lewis, which is great news after their courageous win over the Raiders last weekend, but at the moment the Rabbitohs are the best team in the competition.   
  
 
AFL – Round 9
 
If you can pick the winners of the Magpies-Swans game and the Tigers-Bombers clash then you might have a good weekend, although many will argue that the Lions-Blues and Kangaroos-Crows contests could go either way.
 
The Magpies were that awful against an injury-riddled Dockers a fortnight ago that you questioned whether or not they were capable of being around come September.
 
A week later, the Magpies come out and knock over the unbeaten Cats.
 
How many of you tipped the Cats after the way the Magpies played against the Dockers?
 
You would expect that the Swans, who have got the wobbles, will lift for such a big game; however, their record against the Magpies in Melbourne isn’t pretty.
 
This game compares to the Bulldogs-Broncos game in the NRL.
 
It’s a game that can go either way, but we’ll stick our neck out and go with the Magpies.
 
The Power jumped out of the blocks at the start of the season and, as a result, their rivals are taking them quite seriously.
 
The Cats were far from disgraced against the Magpies last weekend and boast a good record against the Power in Adelaide, so they should win.
 
The Eagles will get the cash in Sydney against the Giants, but when it comes to the punt would you be willing to take the Eagles by under 39 points?
 
The Bulldogs have been under the spotlight this week, and rightly so as they have lost 18 of their past 19 games, which is surprising after systematically dismantling the Lions in Round 1.
 
Can’t see the Bulldogs ending their losing streak against the Saints, who will post their fair share of wins against the lower-ranked teams and suffer their fair share of defeats against the top teams for the rest of 2013.
 
The Lions bounced back in style with a super win over the Bombers and have played well at home all season, but the Blues will prove stiff opposition.
 
It’s a danger game for the Blues, no doubt, but if they can overcome the Eagles in Perth then they’re capable of getting the cash against the Lions in Brisbane.
 
Losing Daniel Merrett to suspension is a blow for the Lions.
 
Now here’s a 50/50 contest – Tigers v Bombers.
 
Yes, the Tigers had a comfortable win over the Demons, but a fortnight ago they were highly impressive when they got the Power in Adelaide.
 
The Bombers have been cruising, but out of the blue they produced a shocker against the Lions, which perhaps gives an indication that the supplements saga is taking its toll.
 
The Bombers should bounce back and they usually lift for the “Dreamtime at the G”, but don’t dismiss the Tigers so easily.
 
Perhaps it’s the Bombers if their big win over the Magpies on Anzac Day is any guide.
 
After enduring a tough draw at the start of the year, the Hawks get the opportunity to cruise for a few weeks.
 
After a comfortable win over the Giants in Launceston, the Hawks will down the Suns, although the boys from the Gold Coast will prove a lot more competitive than GWS.
 
The Kangaroos are so close to making an impact this season you can smell it and the fact they didn’t get the cash against the Eagles in Perth bordered on the criminal.
 
The Crows looked good against the Saints, who marched into Adelaide after toppling the Blues, but face a team this weekend who are hellbent on claiming redemption.
 
Should be a terrific game.
 
The Dockers, who are really starting to show premiership qualities, will prove too good for the Demons — in fact, it could get ugly — and with the future in mind you’ve got to wonder how good Freo will be when they’re at full strength.    
 
 
Super Rugby – Round 15
 
Like the Waratahs against the Rebels, the Force are capable of getting the Highlanders and the Cheetahs are likely to get the cash against the Kings, but the other four games are fair dinkum lotteries.
 
The Chiefs have been among the top teams all year, but the Crusaders are finishing the season strongly and will prove hard to beat.
 
This game can go either way.
 
The Brumbies have also been among the high-flyers this season and deserve a spot in the finals; however they face a desperate opponent in the Blues, who will take some stopping in Auckland.
 
The Blues have been highly impressive at home and the Brumbies are hoping to avoid a third straight loss.
 
The Stormers are back at home after a shock road loss at the hands of the ever-improving Rebels, while the Reds’ finals hopes took a hit when they suffered an unexpected loss at the hands of the Cheetahs.
 
No idea who will win here, but perhaps it could be the Reds as the Stormers have injury concerns.
 
It’s a similar scenario when it comes to the Sharks-Bulls clash in Durban.
 
The Sharks were highly disappointing on their Australasian tour, while the Bulls haven’t lost a game since Round 7 and are bound for the finals.
 
There you have it, but the unpredictability of Super Rugby in 2013 means that the Chiefs, Brumbies, Stormers and Sharks are capable of winning.  

Here’s the three-code match-ups — and who we reckon will prevail

Call it the Late Mail if you like, but here’s why we think our selections (teams in caps) will prevail in the NRL, AFL and Super Rugby this weekend.
NRL – Round 10
Broncos (8th) v TITANS (6th): The Broncos won’t back down despite missing the likes of Hannant, Hodges and Prince, but surely the Titans won’t blow this opportunity. Prince was the difference when these teams met in Round 5.
RABBITOHS (1st) v Tigers (16th): The Rabbitohs are flying and the Tigers just can’t get it together. It’s impossible to see anything but a Rabbitohs win. Don’t feel sorry Benji – he has been ordinary since the 2011 semi-final loss to the Warriors.
DRAGONS (13th) v Eels (14th): Dragons play pretty good footy in Wollongong, while the Eels have produced dusty form on the road. The Dragons have won nine of the past 10 meetings between the sides. Dugan v Hayne could be interesting.
PANTHERS (12th) v Warriors (15th): The Panthers are starting to click, especially at home after upseting the Storm, while the Warriors continue to battle on the road. Rival coaches Cleary and Elliott come up against their old team.
COWBOYS (10th) v Roosters (2nd): The Cowboys have a decent recent record against the Roosters and will be hard to beat at home with the Roosters backing up from Monday night. The Cowboys were far from disgraced against the Rabbitohs, while Waera-Hargreaves is a big loss for the Roosters. A genuine 50/50.
SHARKS (9th) v Raiders (7th): The Raiders won this corresponding match last year, but their away form hasn’t been anything to right home aboit in 2013. The Raiders can’t be written off, but surely the Sharks can deliver at home after putting the Tigers to the sword last weekend.
KNIGHTS (5th) v Bulldogs (11th): The Knights were shocking in Canberra after racing to a 14-0 lead, while the Bulldogs left it late before toppling the Warriors in Wellington. The Knights appear to be on the slide, while the Bulldogs appear to be on the up. It’s time for the Knights to stand up, especially at home.
STORM (3rd) v Sea Eagles (4th): A ripper contest and for the Sea Eagles it’s their third straight Monday nigh fixture. The Storm had the wobbles before succumbing to the Raiders and Panthers, while the Sea Eagles proved against the Roosters that Brett Stewart is a huge loss. The Storm should bounce back against the sworn enemy.
AFL – Round 8
EAGLES (10th) v Kangaroos (12th): Statistically, little separates both teams and it’s unlikely the Kangaroos will succumb to the Eagles by 96 points like they did in the elimination final last year. The return of Naitanui is enormous for the Eagles.
BOMBERS (2nd) v Lions (15th): It may have been an even-money bet when both teams me in the 2001 grand final, but on this occasion the Bombers should win comfortable. Had the Bombers kicked straight they may have beaten the Cats, while the Lions have been legless on their travels.
HAWKS (3rd) v Giants (18th): The Giants suffered a massive loss at the hands of Crows last weekend, so it could get ugly in Launceston if the Hawks put it together. Tom Lynch kicked 10 goals for the Crows against the Giants, so what is Lance Franklin likely to kick for the Hawks.
SUNS (13th) v Bulldogs (16th): The Bulldogs showed positive signs against the Kangaroos last weekend, but it’s time for the Suns to stand tall at home. Some experts believe that the Bulldogs can spring an upset, so it’s a game the Suns can ill-afford to take lightly.
SWANS (5th) v Dockers (6th): Arguably the match of the round. The Swans were ordinary against the Hawks, while the Dockers – minus key players – were super against the Magpies. Shane Mumford returns for the Swans, which is a bonus as the Dockers are missing experienced ruckman Aaron Sandilands and Jon Griffin. The Dockers aren’t out of this, but expect a big improvement from the Swans.
CATS (1st) v Magpies (8th): Injuries haven’t been kind to the Magpies and they’ve had their struggles in defence. If the Dockers can make the Magpies look ordinary in defence, then what do the Cats have in store? The Cats are unbeaten and that record is unlikely to end this weekend. Are the Magpies a risk of missing the eight?
BLUES (11th) v Power (4th): Both teams suffered shock defeats last weekend, so it could be a lively start to the match. The Blues just can’t beat the Saints and after such an inept display on Monday night they should burst out of the blocks. Don’t dismiss the Power just yet, but they were poor against the Kangaroos and Tigers.
TIGERS (7th) v Demons (17th): Some pundits reckon the Demons can get the Tigers – a bit like the Bulldogs perhaps ambushing the Suns. Bottom line. It won’t happen. The Tigers were terrific last weekend, while the Demons still struggle to put four good quarters together and the Tigers will prove tougher opposition than the Suns.
CROWS (9th) v Saints (14th): Should be a good game if last weekend is any guide. However, it would be wise to treat the Saints with plenty of respect as the only teams the Crows have rolled this year have included the Lions, Bulldogs and Giants. Have the Crows found an answer up forward in Tom Lynch?
Super Rugby – Round 14
Hurricanes (9th) v CHIEFS (2nd): The Hurricanes would fancy their chances after getting the Chiefs in the corresponding game last year, but they’ve just returned from South Africa. Injuries threaten to de-rail the Chiefs’ title defence, but their running game could prove too much for the home team.
Rebels (12th) v STORMERS (10th): The Rebels may find it hard to win games, but they have been highly competitive and surely a win looms just around the corner. The Stormers have made a host of changes despite a narrow loss at the hands of the Waratahs, but should still get the cash with the Rebels missing O’Connor and Beale.
Force (14th) v SHARKS (11th): Like the Rebels, the Force have been gutsy of late, but they just can’t buy a win. They came awfully close to rolling the Chiefs last weekend before going down 22-21. It has been reported during the week that there has been drama within the Sharks camp, which enhances the Force’s hopes, but we’ll stick with the visitors to Perth in a game that could go either way.
CRUSADERS (6th) v Blues (5th): Here come the Crusaders. They are definitely back in the mix after a highly impressive road win over the Brumbies a fortnight ago. The Blues edged the Rebels 36-32 in their previous appearance and will be desperate to maintain their status as the leading team in the New Zealand conference. Should be a grand contest.
WARATAHS (8th) v Brumbies (1st): The Brumbies smashed the Waratahs 35-6 when last both teams clashed in Round 4. The Brumbies have had a great season and deserve their status at the top of the ladder, but there is no way they should have lost at home to the Crusaders. The Waratahs are seemingly getting better and perhaps the home ground advantage will split the teams on this occasion. A fair dinkum lottery.
BULLS (3rd) v Highlanders (15th): The Bulls have been sliding under the radar and their lofty status would surprise many followers of Super Rugby. The Highlanders fell to the lowly Kings last weekend, so how on earth are they expected to roll the Bulls in Pretoria. The Bulls are the bet of the round.
Cheetahs (7th) v REDS (4th): Could be a cracking match. The Reds have posted a number of important wins on the road in New Zealand this season, so can they repeat the dose in South Africa. The loss to the Hurricanes would have cut the Cheetahs to the bone as it may ultimately cost them a spot in the finals. It’s one of those classic games where the team you tip against will end up getting the cash.

Hopefully, the end of the week will be better than the start

It has been a big week. Just returned from the Alice Springs Cup on Monday.
Originally backed Russian Jar, but it was scratched on the morning of the race. Plonked the cash on The Ruffian and Patience on an each way basis, and the good news is that they crossed the line in first and second place.
Hopefully that’s a good omen for this weekend when it comes to the footy.
Regardless of the code, nominating winners hasn’t been all that difficult.
However, it’s a different story when it comes to the 50/50s.
We’ll happily indicate the 50/50s and we’ll do our best to try and pick a winner, but it isn’t proving an easy task of late.
There’s an element of luck at the moment and we’re working hard to find the perfect formula.
Rest assured, there would be other punters battling to split the 50/50s as well.
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You would be filthy if the Storm’s home loss to the Raiders and the Knights’ golden point loss to the visiting Sharks cost you picking a perfect round in the NRL last weekend.
As usual, no matter if it’s the NRL, AFL or Super Rugby, you’ve got to find that upset result on top of splitting those 50/50s.
Back to back visits to Sydney awaits the Cowboys and it’s no easy assignment as they face the red-hot Rabbitohs.
We’ve been waiting for the Cowboys to click, and they should be in the mix when they whips strat cracking at the end of the season, but at the moment the Rabbitohs are flying.
The Warriors-Bulldogs clash is a toss of the coin, but the Warriors are legless when they appear at an alternative venue in New Zealand.
Titans are capable of rolling the Dragons after a gutsy effort in Auckland and the Roosters must be some chance at Brookvale Oval now that Brett Stewart is missing from the Sea Eagles line up.
Form and common sense tells you that the Sharks, Broncos, Raiders and Storm should prevail against the Tigers, Eels, Knights and Panthers in the remaining games in Round 9.
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There’s a host of big games in the AFL with the Cats and Bombers kicking off the Round 7 program tonight – that’s a contest between the teams who sit in first and second place.
The Bombers are on a fire and are capable of winning, but they’ve made six changes to their unbeaten line up and that has to enhance the prospects of the Cats.
Injuries have hit the Tigers on the eve of an important game and that may open the door for the Power, especially in Adelaide.
The Magpies boast a wonderful record on the road and how many punters have been stung over the years when they’ve tipped against the black and whites on their travels.
You’d be filthy if you settled on the Magpies and the Dockers, who are still missing Pavlich and Sandilands, got the cash in Perth.
Good luck picking the winner of that game.
And of course, the Hawks play host to the Swans at the MCG in a replay of last year’s grand final.
The Hawks are out for revenge and prepared for the Swans with a tremendous win over the Crows in Adelaide.
It’s hard to fault the Swans and they blasted the Lions out of the water last weekend, so how can you split the Hawks and Swans with confidence.
The Demons and Suns meet in yet another lottery – there’s just nothing that gives either side the edge.
The Demons are at home, but the Suns are favourites.
Picking the card last weekend wasn’t that hard, but it could be a different story this weekend.
The Eagles, Kangaroos, Crows and Blues are good enough to edge the Lions, Bulldogs, Giants and Saints, respectively.
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To top things off you’ve got Super Rugby, which continues to toss up unpredictable results after 12 rounds.
The Reds-Sharks, Cheetahs-Hurricanes and Waratahs-Stormers match ups will leave punters scratching their heads as deadline approaches.
The head tells you that the Reds (Sharks have their injury concerns) and Cheetahs (Hurricanes just aren’t playing well enough) may get over the line, but it’s hard to be confident about the Waratahs winning at home as their inconsistency baffles punters.
The Stormers are battling to pick up from where they left off last year when they were eliminated at the semi-final stage, so with that in mind we’ll stick our neck out and settle on the Waratahs.
Fingers crossed.
The Chiefs, Blues and Highlanders are in line to celebrate victory against the Force, Rebels and Kings.
Treat the Force and Rebels with an element of respect as they have produced decent form across the Tasman in 2013.

NRL, AFL not so hard for punters, but Super Rugby tough again

In Round 8 of the NRL, there’s every chance you could pick the card if you can split the Broncos and Rabbitohs.
The Broncos have their injury concerns, which perhaps opens the door for the Rabbitohs.
Don’t take the Broncos too lightly as the green and reds have a poor record in Brisbane, but if the Rabbitohs can win at Brookvale they can win at Suncorp.
Injuries could make it tough for the Tigers against the Bulldogs, who welcome back James Graham, and it could be a similar scenario for the Titans against the Warriors.
The Dragons and Sea Eagles were no match for the Roosters and Rabbitohs respectively last weekend, but the Sea Eagles seem to have more firepower in attack despite the fact they face the Dragons at Kogarah.
It would come as a shock if the Storm, Cowboys, Knights and Roosters succumbed to respective opponents the Raiders, Eels, Sharks and Panthers.
It’s Round 6 in the AFL, and punters are a realistic chance of making it nine from nine if they can nominate the winner of the Kangaroos-Power and Suns-Dockers encounters.
The Power have been sensational, however a desperate Kangaroos pushed the Hawks to the limit last weekend and surely they can get the cash in Hobart.
The Dockers are missing key players and face a danger game on the Gold Coast after posting a narrow seven point win in the corresponding match last year.
The bookies suggest the Dockers should get the cash, however the Suns are a genuine chance if the team from the west doesn’t come to play.
The Magpies should get the Saints, the Bombers will roll the Giants, you’d fancy the Hawks against the Crows in Adelaide, the Cats can overcome the Tigers, it’s the Swans against the Lions, the Blues will account for the Demons, and it’s hard to see the Eagles falling to the Bulldogs.
Picking winners in Super Rugby isn’t as easy, and the same situation applies in Round 12 this weekend.
The Blues-Stormers, Highlanders-Sharks and Brumbies-Crusaders games can go either way, so good luck settling on that trifecta.
The Blues were unlucky against the Reds last weekend, so we’ll stick our neck out and back the Auckland-based outfit despite the Stormers’ great win over the Hurricanes.
The Sharks were quite competitive against the Chiefs last weekend, but remarkably the winless Highlanders are favourites.
If you’ve lost patience with the Highlanders, you’d be filthy if they got up and toppled the Sharks.
The Sharks, who can still make the finals, must start well after their poor start against the Chiefs.
It’s a huge game in Canberra, with the red-hot Brumbies up against fierce rivals the Crusaders.
Carter returns for the Crusaders and are some chance, but the Christchurch-based franchise only snuck by the Rebels last weekend while the Brumbies crushed the Force.
George Smith should celebrate his record breaking 137th appearance for the Brumbies with a win.
The Chiefs are good enough to get over the Rebels in Melbourne, the Reds are capable of avenging their early season loss at the hands of the Force in Brisbane with victory in Perth, it won’t be easy but the Waratahs can get the cash against the Kings in Port Elizabeth, and the Bulls can prevail against the visiting Hurricanes.

Sticking with the home teams might be Super-safe way to go

Might be a good weekend to stick with the home teams in Round 11 of the Super Rugby competition.

However, the Hurricanes face a tough assignment when they take on the Stormers in Palmerston North.

The Hurricanes and Stormers sit just outside the top six, so it should prove an epic contest.

The Stormers, who welcome back Habana, are considered a strong chance in some circles, however the Hurricanes, who have lost Savea, welcome back automatic selections Eaton, Lowe, Vito, Perenara and Taylor.

The Stormers are fresh after the bye, but Palmerston North is foreign territory and surely the Hurricanes, who battled to put the Force away last weekend, will capitalise.

If the Reds down the visiting Blues in the match of the round then the Brisbane-based outfit will become the first Australian side to complete a clean sweep of New Zealand in a single season.

The Ioane dispute isn’t exactly what the Reds needed on the eve of such an important game, but the second-ranked outfit on the competition ladder had the ideal preparation for their match against the third-ranked Blues following last weekend’s exhilarating draw against the first-ranked Brumbies.

The Blues have had a great season and will prove worthy finalists in 2013, but on this occasion the home ground advantage should get the Reds over the line.

In a replay of last year’s final, the Chiefs play host to the Sharks in Hamilton.

The Chiefs creamed the Sharks 37-6 in the final and it might well be a similar story on this occasion as the South African outfit has a shocking injury toll.

Defeats at the hands of the Reds and Waratahs would have stung the Chiefs, so it could be long night for the Sharks if they fail to fire in defence.

The Force have seemingly found another gear after stunning the Crusaders in Perth before suffering an honurable defeat at the hands of the Hurricanes in Wellington.

The Brumbies are the team to beat for this year’s title and it’s hard to see them letting this game slip from their grasp, although they must treat the Force with the utmost respect as they got the Reds in Brisbane earlier in the season.

The Bulls have been the quiet achievers in 2013 and currently sit in fifth place, and welcome the Waratahs, who somehow got the points against the Chiefs last weekend, after an emphatic 34-0 win over the Kings in Port Elizabeth.

Speaking of the Kings, returning home to play the Bulls was perhaps a tough ask after a fairly successful tour of Australasia.

The Kings have displayed plenty of ticker in their debut season, which has been a breath of fresh air following the poor displays the Lions produced over the years.

The Cheetahs, who had suffered endless heart-breaking defeats since entering Super Rugby, have clearly turned the corner and are a massive chance of qualifying for the finals if the second half of their season replicates what has been a memorable start to the 2013 campaign.

It’s always entertaining when two South African teams meet, but the Cheetahs will rightly start the game against the Kings at Bloemfontein as a warm favourite.

After a shock home loss to the Kings in their last appearance, it’s hard to see the Rebels troubling the Crusaders in Christchurch.

The Crusaders have been ruthless at home this season with a total scoreline that reads 120-47 in three games, and seeing as though they sit outside the top six they will be aiming for a bonus point win.

 

Anzac Day action kicks off busy weekend for NRL, AFL fans

Punters should start Round 7 of the NRL premiership with a winning double if they stick with the Roosters and Storm against the Dragons and Warriors, respectively.

History suggests that the Sea Eagles will edge the visiting Rabbitohs at Brookvale, the Cowboys should have too much class for the Raiders in Townsville, the Broncos perhaps have the class to overcome the Tigers at Campbelltown, and considering the Knights have battled on the road this season you’d like to be on the Titans up on the Gold Coast.

The next two games are interesting affairs with the Sharks squaring off with the Bulldogs in Gosford and the Panthers hosting western Sydney rivals the Eels on Monday night.

The Bulldogs, who are missing Graham more than they would be willing to admit, are slight favourites against the Sharks, who are not out of this despite their inability to post wins of late.

Don’t write off the Sharks, but if the Bulldogs can’t win this then there’s every chance they won’t make the eight.

After winning at home in Round 1 against the Raiders, the Panthers have had their struggles ever since.

It’s hard to believe that the Eels let it slip on the road against the Titans in their previous assignment, so on that basis we’ll stick our neck out and give them another chance.

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 It’s Round 5 action in the AFL and although the Bombers will lift for the big Anzac Day clash injuries might make it tough for them to overcome the Magpies.

The crowd for the match in Wellington will be a mystery, but it shouldn’t be a shock to see the Swans get the cash against the battling Saints.

If you can get the winner of the Giants-Suns game, the Blues-Crows clash, and the Power-Eagles encounter then you might well be on the way to landing the card this weekend.

The Blues appear to be on the way up and may sneak by the Crows in what should be a tremendous contest.

The Giants stunned the Suns in Canberra last year, but surely the Suns will get the cash on this occasion if their soild performance against the Swans at the SCG is any guide.

It’s hard to knock the Giants, but they just can’t put it together for four quarters.

The Eagles seem to be all the rage this weekend, but they haven’t exactly set the world on fire and face a rampant Power in Adelaide.

In the fair dinkum stakes, it’s hard to ignore the Power and if they can overcome the Crows at AAMI Stadium then they’re every chance of eclipsing the injury-ravaged Eagles.

The Tigers let themselves down in the third quarter against the Magpies last weekend, while the Dockers played second fiddle to the Hawks from start to finish in Launceston in Round 6.

Hard to believe that the Dockers lost to the Bombers when last they appeared in Perth and expect them to string four good quarters together.

The Tigers will be competitive, but winning in the west won’t be easy and if you’re looking for comparisons you’ve got to ask yourself if they’re playing as well as the Bombers.

The Cats will prove too good for the Bulldogs, the Lions, who have lost Rich, have played well in Queensland this year and are capable of rolling the Demons, and the Hawks just have too many guns for the Kangaroos.

 

Super Rugby represents the biggest challenge of the lot

As hard as it is to pick winners in the NRL, AFL and A-League, there’s no doubt that when it comes to Super Rugby it’s proving extremely difficult.

Looking ahead to Round 10, you could analyse the Reds-Brumbies match until the cows come home and no matter who you settle on the other team is capable of getting the cash.

The Reds and Brumbies were great in New Zealand last weekend with wins over the Chiefs and Highlanders, respectively.

Perhaps the Reds’ win over the Chiefs had more merit considering they’re the current Super Rugby champions, and considering the Brisbane-based outfit are just about at full strength gives them a slight edge.

Don’t dismiss the Brumbies too easily because they have recorded plenty of big wins on the road this season against quality opposition and they will be primed for the Reds.

The battle between rival coaches Ewen McKenzie (Reds) and Jake White (Brumbies) should be just as compelling with both considered strong chances to succeed current Wallabies coach Robbie Deans.

Not willing to write off the Cheetahs after an honourable road loss at the hands of the Bulls last weekend, but they may find it tough going against the Sharks in Durban.

The Sharks went down narrowly to the Stormers in Cape Town last weekend and with their Australasian tour imminent they need a win to keep their finals hopes alive.

The Cheetahs have come to life in 2013 and are playing wonderful rugby, and would love to avenge their Round 2 loss at home at the hands of the Sharks and thus maintain their spot in the top six.

Meanwhile, the Hurricanes should bounce back and account for the Force; expect the Chiefs to strike back against the Waratahs in Sydney; the Crusaders will start warm favourites against the disappointing Highlanders; and the Bulls will be pushed to the limit before prevailing in Port Elizabeth against the impressive Kings.

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It’s Round 4 in the AFL and good luck splitting Swans-Cats, Tigers-Magpies, Saints-Bombers, Suns-Power and Demons-Giants.

In contrast, the Hawks will take some stopping against the Dockers in Launceston; the home ground advantage is enough to ensure the Eagles victory over the Blues; the Crows are a good bet at home against the injury-riddle Bulldogs; and, in a game between two unpredictable teams, it’s time for the Kangaroos to deliver against the visiting Lions.

The Cats do compete well against the Swans at the SCG and were unlucky not to get the four points in the corresponding match last year, but are you willing to tip against the premiers after the way they dismantled the Kangaroos last weekend?

The Tigers are unchanged and are shooting for four straight wins; however, overcoming the Magpies in recent years has proven to be a difficult hurdle.

The Magpies have injury concerns which enhances the Tigers’ hopes, so the big question is whether the Tigers can strike while the iron is hot or if the Magpies can find something after slumping to the Hawks last weekend.

The Bombers were fantastic in Perth last weekend against the Dockers, but they have incurred injuries and suspensions that gives the Saints hope.

The Saints obliterated the Bombers at Etihad Stadium when last both teams clashed; however, the head tells you that a Bombers loss would come as a major surprise.

The Suns have played two games at home, posting a win against the Saints in Round 1 before an agonising loss at the hands of the Lions last weekend.

In other words, the Suns are clearly a tough side to beat at home these days.

However, the rampant and unbeaten Power heads to the Gold Coast as favourites after a memorable win over the Crows in the Showdown.

This game can go either way and the Suns will prove much tougher opposition than the Demons, who were the Power’s previous opponent when last they travelled.

If the Demons were playing any other team than the Giants you would be holding your breath.

And if the Demons were playing the Giants in Sydney instead of Melbourne in this current climate then the Giants would be considered as a strong chance.

A Giants win would be more of a shock than a Demons loss.

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As usual, the Kiwis can’t field their strongest team for the Anzac Test against the Kangaroos in Canberra.

Marshall might well have an injury, but isn’t it ironic that he’s missing for the Kiwis after having lost the captaincy.

The Kiwis won’t back down, but the Kangaroos are fielding an awesome line-up and should win comfortably.

The City Origin team has been decimated for their annual clash against Country Origin, so backing the boys from the bush to prevail in Coffs Harbour is not exactly fraught with danger.

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Finally, the A-League grand final should be a super contest as the Wanderers and Mariners have not only exuded consistency all season, but are clearly the best two teams in the competition.

It would be a shame to see the Wanderers stumble at this stage of the season, while the Mariners will be doing their best to avoid a fourth grand final loss.

The Wanderers, who are seeking a 13th straight win, are slight favourites and the fact the game is being played in Sydney is an added bonus.

The Mariners are resilient and can produce the goods when it counts — and wouldn’t they like to erase the memories of their grand final loss two years ago when they somehow let it slip against the Roar in Brisbane.

Tipping, regardless of the code, just gets harder and harder

The NRL and AFL premierships are in full swing, it’s reaching an interesting stage in Super Rugby and the grand finalists in the A-League will be decided by the end of the weekend.
 
There are tricky games in all four codes, so much in fact that punters will have to do serious research and plenty of homework before settling on likely winners.
 
We’ll happily nominate the teams that should win, but we’ll also nominate the games that are clearly a toss of a coin.
 
It’s Round 6 in the NRL, and we’re confident that the Knights will get the Panthers, that the Raiders will overcome the Warriors, that the Sea Eagles will roll the Sharks, and that the Titans will prevail against the Eels.
 
However, splitting the teams in the other four games is no easy task.
 
There’s nothing separating the Roosters and Bulldogs, although the Roosters are slight favourites, while the Broncos and Cowboys share favouritism.
 
The loss of Marshall may give the Dragons the edge against the Tigers, however can the Dragons, who are a warm favourites, make it three in a row against an opponent who were highly impressive in Melbourne on Monday.
 
The Rabbitohs are narrow favourites against the Storm, but that’s based on the fact that Slater may not line up for the premiers and unfortunately punters won’t get a clear picture if the Storm No 1 will play until after deadline in most tipping competitions.
 
It’s yet another tremendous weekend of games in Round 3 of the AFL, but before highlighting the genuine 50/50s it would be safe to say that the Eagles will get the Demons, that the Saints will deliver against the Giants, that the Cats will get the cash against the Blues, and that the Tigers will continue along their merry way against the Bulldogs.
 
The Dockers are favourites against the Bombers, and rightly so, but don’t dismiss the Bombers so lightly after their win over the Crows when last they appeared on the road.
 
The Kangaroos could have easily won against the Magpies and grabbed defeat from the jaws of victory against the Cats last weekend, so they must be respected against the Swans, who are favourites, in Hobart.
 
It’s hard to know what the Swans will bring to the table after opening rounds wins over the Giants and Suns.
 
The Lions were unlucky against the Crows and are favourites for the Q Clash, but the Suns are proving hard to beat at home these days and are fantastic value as a $2.77 outsider.
 
The Magpies-Hawks clash should be a maginficent encounter, but can the Magpies find a winning formula after falling to the Hawks on three occasions last year.
 
The loss of Maxwell and Jolly is a blow for the Magpies, however the Hawks are missing Sewell and are backing up after a trip to Perth where they dismantled the Eagles.
 
Are the Power the real deal after showing impressive form against the Demons and Giants?
 
The Crows, who have faced stiffer opposition in the likes of the Bombers and Lions, are a different kettle of fish, but winning games can create confidence and therefore if you’re looking for an upset the Power might be your smokie.
 
Yes, the Power seem to be on the improve under new coach Hinkley, but punters must show the Crows some respect following their achievements of last season.
 
There’s no doubt about it.
 
Round 9 in Super Rugby provides a brilliant menu.
 
First of all, the Crusaders should have too much class for the Force and it would be surprising if the Rebels fell to the Kings despite the fact that the South African outfit shared the points with the Brumbies in Canberra last weekend.
 
The Highlanders have yet to win a game, but they’re getting closer and a win over the Brumbies, who looked wobbly against the Bulls before letting it slip against the Kings, wouldn’t exactly be a major shock.
 
The Reds have won 10 of their past 11 games against New Zealand opposition, but they will have to bring their A grade to the table if they expect to eclipse the high-flying Chiefs in Hamilton.
 
It’s a huge game in Auckland between the Blues, the big improvers in 2013, and the Hurricanes, who have won their past four games.
 
The Blues won in Wellington back in Round 2, so good luck picking a winner of this game.
 
Anything can happen in the match between the Stormers, who just can’t get their best team on to the field and are finding it hard to string wins together, and last year’s beaten Super Rugby finalists the Sharks, who are sitting in third spot.
 
It’s a home game for the Stormers and they are slight favourites, but the Sharks are buoyant after sneaking by the Crusaders last weekend.
 
In yet another South African derby, the Bulls host the Cheetahs in yet another fascinating contest.
 
The Bulls will take some stopping at home, but the Cheetahs, who are in contention for the finals, are sitting in sixth spot and must be taken seriously these days.
 
Both semi-finals in the A-League could go either way, which is fantastic news for neutral supporters.
 
The Wanderers have strung 12 wins together without defeat and would fancy their chances against the Roar, especially at home, after posting three wins in as many games against the defending champions.
 
The Mariners line up for their fourth game in 16 days against the visiting Victory, who were lucky to escape with a win over the Glory last weekend and who suffered a 6-2 loss on the Central Coast during their travels this season.
 
The Roar and Victory can spring upsets, but based on consistency it would be hard to write off the Wanderers and Mariners at home.
 
  

Tough weekend ahead with some of those dreaded 50/50 matches

Yet another big weekend of matches in the NRL, AFL, Super Rugby and A-League.

While there are certainly a few sure things in all codes, we’ll do our best to settle on a winner in those dreaded 50/50 matches.

In Round 5 of the NRL, it’s hard to see the Titans, Cowboys, Roosters and Storm succumbing to the likes of respective opponents the Broncos, Panthers, Raiders and Tigers.

That makes four games that can go either way.

The Bulldogs-Sea Eagles clash is a dead set lottery, but we’ll stick with the Sea Eagles.

This is the kind of game that could spark the Bulldogs to life, especially with Hasler up against his old club.

But the Sea Eagles only got better as their game against the Tigers progressed last weekend, while the Bulldogs went backwards the longer their game progressed against the Rabbitohs.

The Eels were appalling against the Roosters and it would be stunning if they hit back so quickly against the Sharks.

The Eels played well against the Warriors when last they played at Parramatta Stadium, but surely the Sharks are travelling far better than the Eels despite losing the services of Carney.

The Warriors showed something against the Cowboys last weekend, but can they back up that performance against the rampant Rabbitohs?

It’s hard to fault a single aspect of the Rabbitohs game and, although both teams should turn it on in attack, the Warriors may not be able to match their opponents in defence.

The Dragons found something last weekend in a shock win on the road against the Sharks.

Can the Dragons make it back-to-back at WIN Jubilee Oval and honour the late Ian Walsh in style?

The Knights were smashed at Brookvale Oval when last they ventured to Sydney, but they are playing well at the moment and if they click should have too many weapons for the Dragons.

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 In Round 2 of the AFL, the Swans, Power and Bombers should prove too good for the Suns, Giants and Demons.

The Tigers are pretty warm favourites against the Saints, but it could be a lot closer than most expect as the Saints have some decent “ins”.

Can we trust the Tigers?

And will the Saints hit back after imploding on the Gold Coast?

The Bulldogs were fantastic against the Lions, but the Dockers are healthy favourites and justifiably so after their first round win over the Eagles.

It won’t be easy if the Bulldogs can continue from where they left off last weekend, but the Dockers should win.

The Lions and Crows will be primed after poor efforts in the first round, and the Crows will be out to avenge the shock loss they suffered at the Gabba late last season.

Certainly a toss of the coin, but we’ll stick our neck out and settle on the Crows as they have not lost two in a row under coach Sanderson.

The Cats often fail to back up after playing the Hawks; however, the Kangaroos couldn’t overcome a Magpies outfit who were missing a host of stars.

We’re not saying that the Kangaroos aren’t without a chance, but it’s hard to ignore how well the Cats played in the second half against the Hawks.

The Magpies-Blues is a bell ringer and form doesn’t necessarily decide the winner of this match.

Malthouse will do everything to get the Blues over the line, however the Magpies appear to have far too many avenues to goal.

The Eagles-Hawks clash might well be a prelude to this year’s grand final and this week’s encounter should be just as juicy.

There’s not a split pea between them – perhaps the Hawks by a whisker with the Eagles missing LeCras and Naitanui.

However, the Eagles can win.

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  Now to Round 8 action in Super Rugby.

First of all, the Blues, Brumbies and Hurricanes should prevail against the Highlanders, Kings and Waratahs, respectively.

We’re going with the Force against the Rebels in Perth, only because there’s no Beale or Delve for the Rebels.

Surely the Force can crack one at home and avenge the loss they suffered in the corresponding match in 2012.

The Sharks-Crusaders and Cheetahs-Stormers fixtures send a chill down the spine as far as picking a winner is concerned.

The Crusaders pulled off a stunning win over the Stormers last weekend, but the Sharks are full of beans after smashing the Rebels a fortnight ago and they might just sneak home.

The Cheetahs are flying, but they have lost their past seven games against the Stormers.

The home ground advantage should benefit the Cheetahs as they strive for a fifth straight win.

The Stormers couldn’t get the cash against a Crusaders outfit missing a host of All Black stars, but write them off at your peril.

The Stormers have to come good sooner or later, but at $2.70 the Cheetahs are sensational value.

Go the Cheetahs.

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It’s finals time in the A-League, but from the outset the Victory should prove too good for the Glory in Melbourne.

 The Glory won 3-2 when last they visited to Victoria; however, on that occasion the Victory were missing a host of key players.

 The Victory are a lot stronger this time.

The other sudden-death clash between hosts Adelaide and Brisbane can go either way.

The Roar have lost just one of their past seven games and those wins included a 1-0 triumph in Adelaide in Round 23.

The home ground advantage will help Adelaide, no doubt, but they’re far from the side that dominated during the first half of the season.

Recent form suggests that it’s the Roar.

 

Home ground advantage may be the key in Super Rugby

First of all, the Cheetahs will roll the Rebels, the Hurricanes will overcome the Kings and the Waratahs should have few problems with the Force.

Then again, if the Force can get the cash in Brisbane against the reds they must be some chance against the Waratahs.

However, the Waratahs are handy when it comes to day games in Sydney and the Force never looked comfortable before succumbing to the Cheetahs in Perth last weekend. 

However, the other four games should prove interesting and at this stage of the season is home ground advantage going to prove a bonus.

The Reds are sitting in fourth place and are in good shape to seal a finals spot, but they do struggle in New Zealand’s deep south.

The Reds face some tough games during the second half of the season and although the Highlanders are sitting at the foot of the ladder they will certainly prove no pushovers.

It’s the last roll of the dice for the Highlanders, who have yet to win a game in 2013 despite boasting an oustanding backline.

The Reds can win, no doubt, but for some reason we’re giving the Highlanders one more chance.

The Chiefs are travelling beautifully and sit comfortably in second place, but will receive a severe test when they face the Blues in Mount Maunganui.

The Blues had the Waratahs at their mercy last weekend when leading 24-10 before imploding to lose 27-24.

Although not out of the finals race that loss may come back to haunt the Blues, who have been the big improvers this season.

They may not be playing at their Hamilton fortress, however the Chiefs are back in the groove and the defending champions will take some stopping.

The Bulls have been highly competitive on their Australasian tour and were unlucky not to get the cash against the Reds in Brisbane.

Unfortunately, injuries are starting to hinder the Bulls and facing the Brumbies, the competition leaders, in Canberra is no easy assignment.

Losing to the Stormers in their final game in South Africa is no disgrace for the Brumbies because the Cape Town franchise is Sportsword’s selection to win this year’s Super Rugby title.

Speaking of the Stormers, who significantly sit outside the top six, they face yet another test of their mettle when they play host to the Crusaders.

Both teams are missing key players, however the Stormers will have no better chance than to sink the iconic outfit from Canterbury as the Crusaders are missing McCaw, Carter and Read.

If the Crusaders win, then they’re capable of claiming yet another Super Rugby title. 

Easter holiday match schedules mean being on our toes early

Apart from the NRL, we’ve also got AFL and A-League kicking off on a Thursday night this week.

There’s a few tough games in Round 4 of the NRL, but you’d have every right to feel confident if you take the Sea Eagles, Storm, Sharks, Knights, Cowboys and Roosters.

However, the other two games will have you scratching your head.

The Bulldogs-Rabbitohs and Panthers-Titans encounters can go either way.

The Bulldogs, who welcome back Barba, produced a stirring finish against the Storm last week, but it would be fair to say that the Storm were on their last legs after an arduous start to the season.

The Rabbitohs have been fantastic thus far this season and have placed particular emphasis on defence this week, and how can anyone expect Barba to produce miracles when he hasn’t even played a premiership game in 2013.

We’ll go the Rabbitohs, but anything can happen.

The Titans were unlucky not to have got the cash against the Sharks in Round 1 before returning home to post back to back wins against the Raiders and Sea Eagles.

The Panthers pushed the Rabbitohs all the way last weekend and would fancy their chances against the Titans, who have lost the services of key defender Harrison.

There’s usually an upset result every week in the NRL, so perhaps it’s the Panthers this weekend.

The Titans ventured to Penrith last year where victory would have enhanced their finals hopes, but they ended up getting smashed.

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Analysing the fortunes of teams in Round 1 of the AFL has always been a fruitless exercise.

The fact the Bombers toppled the Crows last weekend will make it diffiuclt to split the Blues and Tigers, also the Demons and Power, as well as the Hawks and Cats.

The Lions, Swans, Saints and Magpies are expected to win.

The Blues have a great record against the Tigers, but were brutally inept against the Lions in the NAB Cup final.

The Tigers, who should have beaten the Blues when last both teams clashed (remember when that bouncing ball deceived everybody), played OK when they defeated the Bombers in Wangarratta during the NAB Cup.

The Demons and Hawks are favourites against respective opponents Power and Cats, but the Power and Cats clearly displayed the better form during the pre-season.

History also tells you that NAB Cup form can be misleading, although in recent years the winners of the pre-season final ends up having a relatively good season.

In the end, it’s the Tigers, Power and Cats, but picking the card will take some skill.

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Massive weekend in the final round of the A-League with several games to decide the final six.

Every chance that the games between Brisbane-Sydney and Newcastle-Western Sydney could end draws, but we’ll stick our neck out and settle on the Roar and Wanderers.

Even if the Roar-Sydney game ends in a draw there’s every chance both teams could still miss the finals as Perth and Newcastle are just one point adrfit, so securing three points is vital in Brisbane tonight.

Perth appears to be on a roll at this late stage of the season and may end up in the finals if they overcome the visiting Adelaide, who are already in the finals and are eyeing off third spot.

Third placed Victory hold a one point advantage over Adelaide and if they’re fair dinkum the Melbourne-based outfit should account for the Phoenix in Wellington.

It’s a big game for the Mariners and Heart in Gosford.

Central Coast are three points behind the Wanderers, but the Mariners boast a better goal difference than Western Sydney and may end up with the Premiers Plate if they sink the Heart and the Wanderers slip up in Newcastle.

The Heart has a better goal difference than the Phoenix, but the Melbourne outfit will pick up the wooden spoon if they fail to get a point in Gosford and the Phoenix does the opposite against Victory.

By the way, it’s Victory, Perth and Mariners to win the other three games.

It’s a truly fascinating round of matches in the A-League, but what a pity all games aren’t taking place simultaneously.

If A-League and Super Rugby wasn’t enough, now there’s AFL

Only two games in the opening week of the AFL, but they should prove eventful and entertaining.

The Crows and Bombers have endured the off-seasons from hell, so they won’t be short of motivation on Friday night at AAMI Stadium.

The bookies favour the Crows, which is no surprise as they were fantastic at home last season and boast a pretty decent recent record against the Bombers.

The Bombers looked pretty good in their final NAB Cup match against the Gianats, so the the Crows will have to be at their best.

When it comes to the Western Derby, you can back one team and it will come as no surprise to see the other team.

Tipped the Dockers when both teams first met last year and the Eagles won.

Backed the Eagles later in the season and wouldn’t you know it, the Dockers won.

The Eagles welcome back Kennedy and LeCras to give them some impetus in front of goal, but they are missing key players such as Kerr and Naitanui.

Sandilands is a big loss for the Dockers, but apart from that they’re basically at full strength and they might just get the Eagles on this occasion.

However, it’s clearly a game that can go either way.

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With two rounds to go in the A-League, Melbourne Victory will finish in either third or fourth spot, but Perth Glory are in danger of missing the finals after a shock home loss at the expense of the Wellington Phoenix.

The Victory are missing Milligan, Thompson and Rojas, which makes them slightly vulnerable, but how can you take the Glory seriously after losing a game they were expected to win which would have enhanced their top six hopes.

It’s the third installment of the Harbour city derby with the mighty Western Sydney Wanderers hosting the inconsistent Sydney FC.

Not only will victory over Sydney mark 11 straight wins for the Wanderers, but it will also assure them of the Premiers Plate as minor premiers.

Sydney should make the finals, but a win will just about secure them a spot in the top six and wouldn’t they love to knock off the Wanderers at Parramatta Stadium for the the second time this season.

Brisbane Roar is on the up and Melbourne Heart is on a downward spiral.

The incentive for the Roar is that victory will keep them on course as far as qualifying for the finals is concerned.

Unless the Heart find some ticker they could end up with the wooden spoon, which would be an extraordinary fall from grace as they were well-entrenched in the top six midway through the season.

After posting an unexpected win on the road against Melbourne Heart, the Adelaide United resurgence continued last weekend when they shared the points at home against a desperate Newcastle Jets.

The Reds are at home once again, but it won’t get any easier when they take on the Central Coast Mariners – who can still land the Premiers Plate if the Wanderers lose their last two games.

The Mariners haven’t been at their best in recent weeks and the fact that players haven’t been paid this week hasn’t helped, but with the finals imminent you would expect them to come out firing in Adelaide.

You’d like to be on the Mariners, but they’re by no means certainties.

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Can you believe some of the results in Round 6 of the Super Rugby last weekend?

The Cheetahs rolling the Waratahs in Sydney and the Force stunning the Reds in Brisbane would have baffled most tipsters, while the Brumbies toppling the Sharks in Durban would have surprised many.

Settling on a winner in the Highlanders-Hurricanes match wasn’t an easy task, with the Canes getting home in a tight one in Dunedin.

Thankfully, an element of common sense prevailed when the Crusaders overcame the Bulls and the Chiefs put the gutsy Kings to the sword.

It’s yet another intriguing round of games this weekend and good luck picking the card.

The Chiefs should be too good for the visiting Highlanders, the Kings will find it tough going when they plkay their first game in New Zealand against the Crusaders, and the Sharks should bounce back on home soil when they host the Rebels.

Fresh from a great win over the Blues in Auckland, the Bulls came crashing back to earth last weekend when they succumbed to the Crusaders in Christchurch.

The Bulls land in Brisbane to face the Reds and they could be stretched out in the backs minus Olivier, Hougaard and Ndungane.

The Reds welcome back Horwill, and the return of Ioane and Anthony Faingaa can only help their cause.

The Reds are not playing well and the Bulls pose a threat, but we’ll give the Queenslanders another chance.

The Force and Cheetahs were terrific last weekend and both teams would fancy their chances in Perth.

It’s the Force’s first home game of the season, but for the Cheetahs it’s their final game in Australasia before heading home and there’s no way you can take them lightly after accounting for the Highlanders and Waratahs.

We’ll go the Force, only because the Cheetahs have lost their scrum half Goosen and captain Hodgson returns for the WA franchise.

The Stormers return to action after last week’s bye against the high-flying Brumbies and would be full of confidence after edging the Chiefs a fortnight ago.

The Brumbies were fantastic against the Sharks last weekend and never looked like losing after an excellent first half display in Durban.

We tipped the Stormers to win the Super Rugby title, but there are early signs that the Brumbies could be the team to beat in 2013.

Therefore, it might well be a five-star enounter in Cape Town.

If the Brumbies continue from where they left off last weekend they are capable of winning, but we’ll follow the bookies on this occasion and settle on the Stormers.

Can the Waratahs recover following their narrow loss to the Cheetahs?

And are the Blues the real deal?

The Blues started the year in grand style with wins over the Hurricanes and Crusaders before slipping up against the Bulls.

Like the Force-Cheetahs and Stormers-Brumbies fixtures, it’s hard to settle on one team with confidence.

If form is any guide, then it’s the Blues.

The Waratahs have been disappointing this season and although they got the cash against the Rebels in their one and only win of they year they were far from convincing.

Against the Reds, Brumbies and Cheetahs, the Waratahs just couldn’t put it together.

After settling on the Blues, you watch the Waratahs produce the goods on Sunday.

Good luck splitting teams and treat others with respect

You can only stand back and admire the achievements of the Storm.
 
They were ripe for the picking in Townsville last Saturday night, but the Cowboys – a genuine threat this season – had no answer to the premiers.
 
Even after losing a host of key players at the end of last year, the Storm continue to thrive under coach Bellamy and at the moment Cronk is clearly the best player in the world.
 
Despite a short week, the Storm will take some stopping when they play host to the Bulldogs in the grand final replay.
 
Yes, the Bulldogs toppled the Eels a week ago in an entertaining contest, but it’s hard to get a handle on the 2012 minor premiers minus Barba.
 
The Tigers-Eels clash is an even money bet.
 
It would have been interesting to see how the Tigers would have fared had the Panthers not lost Coote early to injury, and playing against a full-strength Bulldogs outfit would have made it easier to assess if the Eels are in fact the real deal.
 
Hosting the Eels at Leichhardt Oval may just get the Tigers over the line, especially with Farah re-signing with the club.
 
The Sea Eagles will start as deserved favourites when they arrive at the Gold Coast, however the Titans have made an impressive start to the year and with arguably the best pack in the NRL at their disposal they can’t be dismissed so easily.
 
The Roosters and Broncos normally square off in Sydney over the Easter period and it’s usually a high quality match.
 
Both teams had solid wins on the road last weekend, but are the Warriors and Dragons among the best teams in the competition at this stage?
 
The Broncos blew it against the Sea Eagles in Round 1 when they switched off for seven minutes, while the Roosters made an excellent start against the Rabbitohs before losing the plot after 15 minutes.
 
The Broncos can win, but it would be wise to consider the Roosters as the visitors are likely to lose Hodges with injury after having already lost McGuire.
 
With a bit more luck, the Sharks could have rolled the Rabbitohs last weekend and with that in mind it would come as a shock if they were to succumb at home at the hands of the frustrating and unpredictable Warriors.
 
Defence got the Rabbitohs home against the Sharks and the return of Sam Burgess can only help their cause when they make the trip to Penrith.
 
The Panthers have given an early indication that although they may not make the finals they could provide plenty of cheek in 2013 – the loss of Coote though is monumental.
 
The Dragons haven’t won in Canberra since 2000 and they haven’t beaten the Raiders anywhere since 2007.
 
The Raiders will be buoyed by the fact that they will debut at home for the first time and you would expect them to life following the Dugan dramas and two poor defeats at the expense of the Panthers and Titans.
 
The Dragons will have no better chance to end their hoodoo against the Raiders, but they will have to improve immeasurably.
 
One of a numerous 50/50 games this weekend.
 
And good luck splitting the Knights and Cowboys.
 
The Knights were shocking last weekend, but if there is a defence it would be that the Sea Eagles were red hot.
 
The Cowboys didn’t perform all that badly last weekend, it’s just that the Storm were too good.
 
Gidley will have to produce a big game because you know Thurston will turn up to play, especially after a loss where he played second fiddle to Cronk.
 
The Knights were ruthless at home in Round 1, however the Tigers had other things on their mind following the passing of a teammate.
 
The bottom line is that this could be the pick of the games this weekend, but in the end it’s the Cowboys by the narrowest of margins.   
 

Super Rugby teams find their feet; A-League finals race hots up

Super Rugby – Round 5: It can be safely assumed that the Chiefs will prove too good for the Kings and that the Reds will get the cash against the Force.
However, the other four games will leave you scratching your heads.
Can the Highlanders bounce back from their shock loss at the hands of the Cheetahs and overcome the visiting Hurricanes, who finally cracked it for a win last weekend with a stirring come-from-behind triumph over the Crusaders?
The Waratahs were awful against the Brumbies and coach Cheika has wielded the axe for the home fixture against the always-competitive Cheetahs, who recovered from a disastrous loss at the hands of the Chiefs to blow the Highlanders out of the water last weekend.
The winless Crusaders are heavy favourites against the Bulls, but the Canterbury-based franchise have proven vulnerable against the Blues and Hurricanes without McCaw and it’s hard to dismiss the Bulls after their superb win over the Blues in Round 4.
The Sharks-Brumbies contest should be a peach. Both teams have yet to lose a game, but home ground advantage may benefit the Sharks on this occasion as the Brumbies adjust to life without Pocock.
It looms as yet another enjoyable weekend of rugby.
 A-League – Round 25: Apart from Wellington, the other nine teams remain in the hunt to secure a place in the finals. Adelaide will play finals and will finish in the top four, but getting the cash at home against a desperate Newcastle, who sit in sixth spot, won’t be easy as the Jets have Brisbane, Perth and the Heart breathing down their necks.
The Heart have seemingly hit the wall and were most disappointing against Wellington and Adelaide in two games they were expected to win. Welcoming the first-placed Wanderers, who are aiming for a staggering 10 straight wins, is a daunting prospect for the red and white half of Melbourne.
Sydney have suddenly sprung to life and a 2-0 win over Central Coast made everyone sit up and take notice, so perhaps they are worthy of making the finals if they can topple the Victory.
In 26 games between the clubs, Sydney has only managed to celebrate a win over the Victory on five occasions.
Brisbane has a decent record at Gosford, so can they inflict more pain on the Mariners, who are imploding at the wrong time of the season?
Central Coast will be hard to beat at home as they strive to catch the Wanderers in the race for the Premiers’ Plate, but they did play a midweek game in Japan and the Roar will have no better opportunity to strike.
Perth, sitting in eighth place, are buzzing under new coach Edwards and, if results go as expected this weekend, they could find themselves in the top six.
The Glory deserve credit for seemingly saving their season, but they don’t deserve to contest the finals if they fail to claim the three points against the Phoenix, who are on the road for a second straight week after giving the Wanderers a fright.

It’s not easy to get a feel on form at this early stage

Still feel confident about picking winners at this early stage of the NRL season?
 
You have every right to be concerned after a number of surprise results last weekend.
 
The Eels were some chance of rolling the Warriors, but by 30 points?
 
The Broncos seemed to have the measure of the Sea Eagles before switching off for seven minutes in the second half.
 
The Roosters usually make good starts to a season, but were blown off the park by the Rabbitohs.
 
And many would argue that a Sharks win over the Titans was impossible after a week of turmoil.
 
No beating around the bush.
 
The Titans, Tigers and Rabbitohs should get the cash at home, and the Cowboys proved in Round 1 that they could make life tough for the visiting Storm.
 
However, how can you overlook the Storm with confidence?
 
The Eels-Bulldogs, Dragons-Broncos, Warriors-Roosters and Sea Eagles-Knights encounters can go either way if last weekend is any guide.
 
You can go over and over all four games until the cows come home and you wouldn’t be criticised no matter who you ended up picking.
 
Go with the bookies, go with your heart or go with your head?
 
It’s a fair dinkum lottery.
 
We’ll hold our breath our settle on the Bulldogs, Broncos, Roosters and Sea Eagles.
 
Yes, nominating three away teams is a risk.

The good, the bad, and the downright difficult

If you had the nerve to tip the Blues last weekend against the Crusaders, then there’s every chance you would have gone close to picking the card in Round 3.
Although, you would have been mumbling under your breath had you tipped the Hurricanes as they were stiff not to roll the Reds in Brisbane.
And you would have given it serious thought before settling on the Sharks to get the points against the visiting Stormers.
The other three games were relatively predictable, but full credit to the Rebels for sticking it up the Waratahs and the Force for giving the Bulls a major fright.
The fact that the Chiefs clocked the Cheetahs by 42 points was significant.
The Highlanders should prove too good for the Cheetahs and you’d think the Sharks would have too much class for the Kings this weekend.
However, an air of intrigue surrounds the other four games.
The Hurricanes fell to the Blues when last they appeared at home a fortnight ago, and after a gut-wrenching loss to the Reds would be full of fire as they await the visit of the Crusaders.
The Blues made the Crusaders look second rate last weekend and the Christchurch-based franchise are no certainties in Wellington, however it must be said that it was their first game of the year
The Hurricanes and Crusaders are desperate, and although Sportsword are giving the Crusaders a second chance there is no doubt the Hurricanes are capable of winning the game.
The Rebels are proving competitive and will give the Reds a run for their money.
The loss of Beale is a killer for the Rebels because you’ve got to wonder if the Reds have fully recovered after a sensational defensive display in their spine-tingling victory over the Hurricanes.
The head says the Reds, but if there is an upset this weekend this could be the game.
The Brumbies look ominous and the return of Smith is certainly an added bonus.
Even if Smith wasn’t on board for the Brumbies they still would have started the game against the Waratahs as a warm favourite.
The Waratahs were poor against the Reds and battled to shake the Rebels, and will have to find rapid improvement if they envisage upsetting the Brumbies in Canberra.
To put things into perspective, at this stage, the Rebels have more chance of downing the Reds than the Waratahs have of rolling the Brumbies.
The Stormers have lost their opening two games – albeit narrowly on the road against the Bulls and Sharks – and welcome the visit of the powerful Chiefs in Cape Town.
The Stormers, who fell one game short of the final last year, could be sitting at 0-3 and will have to produce something special to nullify the 2012 champions.
The Chiefs have jumped out of the blocks and will once again be a threat in 2013, but at the moment the same cannot be said of the Stormers.
You’d be disappointed if you tipped the Chiefs and they lost.
After a shocking 2012 campaign, the Blues are back in town and they never looked like losing against the Hurricanes and Crusaders.
The Bulls were trailing against the gutsy Force last weekend in the closing 10 minutes before their forwards sprung to life to seal victory.
Yes, Steyn will bang penalty goals and conversions from all over the park, but unless the Bulls match the Blues in the battle of the forwards the Auckland-based outfit, who dominated Super Rugby when it first evolved, will be sitting pretty at 3-0.

Wonderful Wanderers look set to remain in pole position

Hard to believe the Wanderers are sitting in first place.
 
They’re proving unstoppable at the moment and they look set to enhance their minor premiership hopes when they host the Phoenix this weekend.
 
A loss would be as stunning.
 
The Wanderers winning the A-League title would be just as stunning.
 
Coach Popovic is living proof that serving an apprenticeship as an assistant coach in England with Crystal Palace was priceless.
 
The Mariners, who were far from disgraced against the Wanderers last weekend and were in fact unlucky not to win the game, are capable of bouncing back against Sydney, but it will prove no easy task.
 
Sydney are proving a lot tougher to beat at home these days, however the Mariners have had an excellent season thus far and most would expect them to bounce back.
 
Sydney are sitting just outside the top six and victory is imperative, while the Mariners could slip five points behind the Wanderers if they incur a second straight loss.
 
The Jets are back at home after a hammering at the hands of Victory and will be primed to strike back against a desperate Glory.
 
The Glory need a win to keep their finals hopes alive, and they seem to be thriving under their new coach.
 
The Jets are missing Heskey, but they are difficult to beat at home and will solidify their place in the top six by picking up the three points.
 
Are the Roar back in business after their impressive win in Adelaide last weekend?
 
One thing is for certain, the Victory are on the march and are tremendous value at $3.00 as they head to Brisbane. 
 
The Roar are out to maintain their spot in the top six and the Victory are suddenly a chance of grabbing second spot.
 
The Roar crunched Victory when last they turned up in Brisbane – that won’t be the case on this occasion.
 
The fall from grace of Adelaide is staggering.
 
They were among the high-flyers at the start of the season and have lost their mojo since the departure of former coach Kosmina.
 
The Heart are legless on the road, however they have won their past five matches at home and with all their players available will prove extremely hard to beat.
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